Las Vegas oddsmaker has Alabama football at nine wins in 2025

Alabama football had a winning season in 2024, but 9-4 was not the mindset of the fan base.

In this new era of college football — one that includes a 12-team playoff — 10 wins is the benchmark to make the playoff. If the Crimson Tide had beaten Vanderbilt, Tennessee, or Oklahoma in the regular season, it would have gotten into the dance. Alabama’s schedule is tough this yet, but it sets up with the road losses last year being home games this time.

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Kalen DeBoer will lead the Tide versus Florida State in Tallahassee (Fla.) to open the season, but it faces Georgia, Missouri, South Carolina, and Auburn on the road. Alabama has Wisconsin, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, LSU, and Oklahoma on Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

According to Brett McMurphy of Action Network, Circa Sports — an oddsmaker in Las Vegas — projects 9 1/2 wins for Alabama this season. The program is tied with Georgia and Texas for most projected regular season wins in the Southeastern Conference. Circa Sports sees the Tide’s possible three losses versus Georgia, South Carolina, and Auburn.

SEC regular season over/under win totals via @CircaSports

Alabama 9½
Georgia 9½
Texas 9½
LSU 8½
Ole Miss 8½
Tennessee 8½
Auburn 8
Texas A&M 8
Florida 7½
Missouri 7½
South Carolina 7½
Oklahoma 7
Arkansas 5½
Vanderbilt 5½
Kentucky 4½
Miss State 3½

— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) May 14, 2025

All three games are road matchups for the Tide.

We will see if the oddsmaker is right, but Alabama is poised for a bounce back year.

Stephen M. Smith is a senior analyst and writer for The Bama Standard. You can follow him on X via @CoachingMSmith.